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我国中内阁顶出产影响市民消费:正向传带还是

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  How local government spending affects Consumption: forward conduction or reverse?

  Abstract:According to Chinese 31 provincial panel data from 1995 to 2012, and using the threshold methods and dynamic panel GMM panel regression, this paper examines the non-linear effects of local government expenditures on residents consumption. Results of threshold methods show that at high levels of economic development and fiscal decentralization, local government spending can significantly improve consumption. At low levels of economic development levels and fiscal decentralization, the impact of local government spending on consumption is not significant. GMM test show that Local government spending effectively squeeze on household consumption, and government spending on investment and living promotes consumption. However, Government consumption expenditure has an inhibitory effect on household consumption. Therefore, there is a need to accelerate local economic growth through increased local government spending and adjust the structure of local government spending to promote Chinese household consumption.

  Keywords:

  local government expenditure

  household consumption

  threshold effect

  dynamic effects

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